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Course Description:
This seminar on Land-Use Change Modeling will be taught in collaboration with Keith Clarke and will be built around a very recent report (November, 2000) published jointly by the US Forest Service and the Center for the Study of Institutions, Population and Environmental Change (CIPEC) of Indiana University. The report is entitled "A Review and Assessment of Land-Use Change Models: Dynamics of Space, Time and Human Choice" and undertakes a systematic review and comparison of 18 different models of land use change. Beyond learning about the models themselves, there are a host of broader questions to discuss: the representation of space, time, complexity and human decision in models; how to classify and compare models (leading to the issue of metadata for models); data integration issues; and issues of combining physical and human Geography perspectives.
The seminar will be interesting to anyone studying phenomena at the human-environmental interface, since land use change is the geographical trace of all kinds of physical and human processes at a variety of scales.
Course Syllabus (Word, PDF):
Reference Links:
USDA Survey of Land Transition Models PDF file (Big).
Appendix for the Above Report.
Projecting Land Use Change, an EPA Report (WordPerfect, PDF, online).
Chapter 2: Modeling Frameworks, paradigms and approaches (Word, PDF).
Modular Modeling System (MMS) - presentation (pdf) by Dr. George Leavesley (USGS).
Dr. Daniel McFadden, 2000 Nobel Price recipient in Economics, background article (pdf).
General references on Decision Models (pdf).
Documentation on "What If" planning support system.
Integrated Modeling Architecture (IMA), work from the Univ. of Maryland group.
Virtual tools for complex problems - an overviewof the Atlas regional interactive sustainability atlas (FutureQuest) (pdf).Student Presentations:
Comparison of land use change models - Martin Herold Modular Modeling System - Tim Robinson California Urban Futures Model - Kevin Curtin CLUE and LUCAS - Britta Bierwagen LTM and ANN (presentation, slides)- Jeff Howarth California Urban and Biodiversity Analysis Model - John Gallo See the Future - Jeff Onsted SLEUTH - Melissa Kelly Student Commentary (PDF):
Support for this project is from the National Science Foundation :
Contact the project Web Master.
